Across the Issel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1060 | 70% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-03-11 | Won |
| 971 | 1039 | 40% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2021-02-14 | Won |
| 1164 | 1220 | 42% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1202 | 1220 | 47% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 993 | 949 | 56% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 862 | 76% | 2018-06-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1030 | 43% | 2016-05-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1301 | 24% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1078 | 58% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-08-27 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2014-03-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 1057 | 35% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1146 | 41% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1085 | 59% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2013-11-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 988 | 66% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1029 | 57% | 2013-09-13 | Won |
| 1066 | 920 | 70% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2013-03-07 | Lost |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 1107 | 1137 | 46% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 986 | 79% | 2013-01-11 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1048.8 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).