The Land of Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 980 | 57% | 2022-11-23 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1263 | 39% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1024 | 42% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 959 | 1091 | 32% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1099 | 52% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
| 958 | 1054 | 37% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1225 | 979 | 80% | 2013-05-17 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1061.2 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).