The Land of Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2026-07-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1002 | 46% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2022-11-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1042 | 63% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1263 | 39% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 1084 | 34% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2018-06-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1099 | 53% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
| 960 | 1055 | 37% | 2014-11-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 1061 | 63% | 2013-05-17 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1073.6 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).