Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1004 | 42% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1010 | 788 | 78% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2016-10-31 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1092 | 1189 | 36% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1027.6 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).