Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 996 | 44% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1009 | 755 | 81% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2016-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1185 | 32% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1023 has a 54.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).