Urban Nightmare
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1003 | 43% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2021-02-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 810 | 76% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2016-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1183 | 21% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1031.7 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).