Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-02-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1100 | 45% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
| 1068 | 1313 | 20% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 1220 | 33% | 2014-02-16 | Won |
| 999 | 1040 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 963 | 993 | 46% | 2013-08-28 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1040 | 85% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1144 | 38% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2013-02-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2013-01-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1064.4 has a 51.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).