Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (22 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German): 35
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1007 | 61% | 2026-10-24 | D | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-05-17 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-12-08 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-08-22 | | Won |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-02-12 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2015-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1099 | 46% | 2014-05-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2014-02-20 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1218 | 34% | 2014-02-16 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2013-10-11 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-06-23 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2013-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2013-02-13 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1012 | 53% | 2013-02-09 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2013-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2012-12-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1049 vs 1027.5 has a 53.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).