It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (25 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (American): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1021 | 55% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1113 | 1185 | 40% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1113 | 46% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1226 | 1106 | 67% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1021 | 51% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 993 | 1120 | 32% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1026 | 1097 | 40% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1097 | 40% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1225 | 25% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1083 | 43% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1342 | 951 | 90% | 2014-06-20 | Won |
| 985 | 920 | 59% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 913 | 1052 | 31% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1129 | 931 | 76% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1028 | 66% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 982 | 57% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1028 | 73% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1043.7 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).