It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (23 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 47
Defender wins (American): 43
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1139 | 38% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
| 1139 | 1174 | 45% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1087 | 1139 | 43% | 2020-03-14 | Won |
| 1142 | 1109 | 55% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1082 | 42% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1106 | 43% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
| 1021 | 1028 | 49% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1263 | 19% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1203 | 28% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 930 | 58% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 912 | 1050 | 31% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1065 | 931 | 68% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1051 | 58% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 977 | 60% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
| 940 | 1050 | 35% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1051 | 68% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1053.9 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).