Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1106 | 64% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1113 | 56% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1132 | 957 | 73% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1062 | 40% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 996 | 1238 | 20% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 957 | 1132 | 27% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1004 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1223 | 1101 | 67% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 882 | 1151 | 18% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1100 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1086 | 37% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 957 | 61% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 982 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1103 | 51% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1109 | 988 | 67% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1041.8 has a 53.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).