Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (25 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (American / FFI): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 923 | 74% | 2025-08-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1109 | 64% | 2025-05-28 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1074 | 60% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1123 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 947 | 972 | 46% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1072 | 56% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 988 | 1047 | 42% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1254 | 23% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1007 | 890 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1186 | 1111 | 61% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 969 | 982 | 48% | 2014-12-27 | Lost |
| 883 | 1151 | 18% | 2014-03-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1099 | 53% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1072 | 39% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1042 | 49% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 982 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 948 | 69% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1038 | 75% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1118 | 1047 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1043.2 has a 54.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).