Cradle to Grave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (21 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 39
Defender wins (American / FFI): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2024-11-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1116 | 52% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1098 | 63% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2020-12-11 | Won |
| 1104 | 994 | 65% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 940 | 1250 | 14% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1006 | 889 | 66% | 2017-02-23 | Won |
| 1126 | 1097 | 54% | 2016-06-26 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1100 | 52% | 2014-01-29 | Won |
| 996 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-11-16 | Lost |
| 1036 | 999 | 55% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 973 | 52% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1038 | 60% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 1055 | 45% | 2013-01-13 | Won |
| 1150 | 978 | 73% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1164 | 996 | 72% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1073.6 vs 1040 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).