The Sangshak Redemption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (42 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 70
Defender wins (Gurkhas): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 896 | 966 | 40% | 2025-05-30 | Won |
| 927 | 1013 | 38% | 2025-05-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1186 | 50% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2025-04-21 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2024-07-15 | Lost |
| 924 | 1003 | 39% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 1252 | 1244 | 51% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 944 | 65% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-25 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2021-07-19 | Won |
| 1252 | 749 | 95% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 1099 | 50% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 950 | 1153 | 24% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1100 | 45% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1075 | 46% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1048 | 1100 | 43% | 2020-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1006 | 966 | 56% | 2018-12-10 | Won |
| 1075 | 1109 | 45% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2016-08-13 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1108 | 71% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1112 | 1060 | 57% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
| 1133 | 920 | 77% | 2014-05-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 918 | 67% | 2014-03-15 | Won |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1125 | 978 | 70% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2013-08-19 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-03-12 | Won |
| 927 | 917 | 51% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1057 | 1009 | 57% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2012-12-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-10-28 | Won |
| 996 | 1057 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1005 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1017.9 has a 56.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).