Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 5
Defender wins (Republican): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1085 | 26% | 2023-09-14 | | Won |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2022-06-28 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1134 | 27% | 2018-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1085 | 43% | 2015-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2015-03-21 | | Lost |
| 1228 | 1147 | 61% | 2013-10-10 | | Won |
| 959 | 966 | 49% | 2013-05-18 | | Lost |
| 883 | 1141 | 18% | 2012-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 919 | 73% | 2012-10-03 | | Won |
| 1103 | 966 | 69% | 2012-05-16 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1040.1 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).