Makela's End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (13 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalist): 15
Defender wins (Republican): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2023-09-14 | Won |
| 1181 | 998 | 74% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2022-03-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 1079 | 33% | 2018-11-30 | Lost |
| 1058 | 982 | 61% | 2016-03-24 | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1219 | 26% | 2015-05-20 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1089 | 48% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1058 | 68% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 830 | 960 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 1181 | 979 | 76% | 2013-03-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 910 | 79% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 960 | 68% | 2012-05-16 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1033.2 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).