Bullseye!!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (7 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2022-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1134 | 47% | 2014-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1111 | 53% | 2014-06-11 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1175 | 43% | 2013-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2013-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1165 | 968 | 76% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1102.7 vs 1082.3 has a 52.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).