The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (11 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (French): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2024-03-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2017-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2014-07-14 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-01-17 | | Lost |
| 907 | 891 | 52% | 2013-05-19 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1147 | 31% | 2013-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2012-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2012-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1059.4 has a 47.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).