The Road to Juniville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (French): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 1046 | 67% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2017-12-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1106 | 41% | 2014-07-14 | Won |
| 1075 | 1276 | 24% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 890 | 55% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-05-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1039 | 52% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
| 1125 | 890 | 79% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1112 | 42% | 2012-11-17 | Lost |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1075.9 has a 45.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).