Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1057 | 77% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1016 | 1252 | 20% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1313 | 1026 | 84% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 1144 | 51% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 1085 | 42% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1050 | 46% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1166 | 40% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 986 | 1170 | 26% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 998 | 36% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1108 vs 1085.9 has a 53.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).