Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 1003 | 77% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1027 | 1254 | 21% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1340 | 1027 | 86% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1145 | 45% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1118 | 973 | 70% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1050 | 49% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1089 | 1169 | 39% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 973 | 1137 | 28% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 879 | 53% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1103.9 vs 1045.2 has a 58.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).