Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1077 | 70% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1021 | 1182 | 28% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1219 | 1018 | 76% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1126 | 1143 | 48% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1021 | 66% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1138 | 1021 | 66% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1034 | 1042 | 49% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 952 | 1048 | 37% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1021 | 71% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 1171 | 36% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1187 | 46% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 965 | 41% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1113.1 vs 1067.5 has a 56.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).