Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 1060 | 67% | 2020-12-15 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1280 | 18% | 2018-07-21 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-04-29 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-01-13 | | Tied |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-11-15 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1084 | 43% | 2015-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1067 | 1205 | 31% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1108.7 vs 1035.5 has a 60.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).