Tough Enough
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1041 | 65% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 1250 | 1182 | 60% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-12-31 | Won |
| 1028 | 1221 | 25% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 1274 | 1026 | 81% | 2018-04-29 | Won |
| 1089 | 1144 | 42% | 2016-03-28 | Lost |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2016-01-13 | Tied |
| 1125 | 984 | 69% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1072 | 44% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 975 | 1049 | 40% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1086 | 1170 | 38% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2012-09-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1176 | 33% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 901 | 903 | 50% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1103.6 vs 1061 has a 56.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).