Prelude to Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (2 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1098 | 34% | 2013-05-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 982 | 58% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1009 vs 1040 has a 45.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).