Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1016 | 38% | 2017-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 893 | 68% | 2016-05-23 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1060 | 84% | 2012-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1174 | 27% | 2012-04-21 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1150 | 35% | 2012-04-10 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1054.6 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).