Bougainville Series #5: The Trail To Hell Again
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 14
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 926 | 940 | 48% | 2017-01-27 | Lost |
| 1048 | 890 | 71% | 2016-05-23 | Won |
| 1057 | 1080 | 47% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 1209 | 1264 | 42% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2012-04-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1067.2 vs 1058.2 has a 51.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).