Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2024-04-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2020-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1216 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-07-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2018-03-10 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 987 | 70% | 2017-07-07 | | Won |
| 1074 | 876 | 76% | 2015-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-12-18 | | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1019.8 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).