At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 5
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 1014 | 14% | 2025-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2025-01-23 | | Lost |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2020-05-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2018-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2018-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-08-04 | | Lost |
| 921 | 981 | 41% | 2018-07-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-12-03 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2016-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2015-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2015-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2012-04-07 | | Tied |
| 1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2012-03-03 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2012-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1065.7 has a 41.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).