At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (16 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 14
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 1082 | 13% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1082 | 49% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1231 | 49% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 1226 | 40% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 973 | 61% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 981 | 42% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 1226 | 39% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
| 950 | 1158 | 23% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
| 1092 | 1123 | 46% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1050 | 866 | 74% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
| 950 | 963 | 48% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1085.4 has a 45.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).