The Shooting Gallery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German / Hungarian ): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 1170 | 31% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1136 | 1219 | 38% | 2021-05-13 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2019-01-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1219 | 32% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2015-02-24 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1050 | 51% | 2014-10-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 1062 | 1106 | 44% | 2012-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.3 vs 1099.3 has a 45.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).