Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1226 | 954 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 991 | 69% | 2022-04-18 | | Won |
| 918 | 966 | 43% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2015-10-29 | | Won |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-05 | | Won |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1043 | 1099 | 42% | 2012-07-28 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1017.2 has a 56.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).