Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 891 | 81% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 917 | 940 | 47% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1114 | 48% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1232 | 959 | 83% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1060 | 50% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1016.5 vs 1006.9 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).