Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 919 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2022-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1111 | 47% | 2022-04-18 | | Won |
| 918 | 981 | 41% | 2020-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2020-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2015-10-29 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-09-05 | | Won |
| 994 | 1032 | 45% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2012-12-10 | | Won |
| 1034 | 1062 | 46% | 2012-07-28 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1024.2 has a 53.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).