Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 993 | 70% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 933 | 906 | 54% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1111 | 54% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1264 | 959 | 85% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1041 | 46% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1125 | 41% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1057.1 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).