Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 955 | 78% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 912 | 1024 | 34% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 933 | 930 | 50% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1135 | 29% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1111 | 53% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1260 | 958 | 85% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1072 | 41% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 991 | 1189 | 24% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1189 | 24% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1060 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).