Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (13 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 965 | 77% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1227 | 1080 | 70% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 918 | 951 | 45% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1025 | 916 | 65% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1111 | 52% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1227 | 957 | 83% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 999 | 1077 | 39% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 945 | 1138 | 25% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1042 | 1070 | 46% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1017.8 has a 57.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).