Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (11 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1146 | 998 | 70% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 917 | 909 | 51% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1115 | 57% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1289 | 960 | 87% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1036 | 47% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1118 | 42% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1026.9 has a 55.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).