Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 33
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2022-11-13 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1019 | 954 | 59% | 2019-03-29 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-11-26 | | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2017-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1039 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-08-14 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1009 | 87% | 2012-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1317 | 28% | 2012-03-03 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2012-02-16 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-12-27 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1055.8 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).