Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 33
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 925 | 63% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-07-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1039 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1006 | 87% | 2012-03-29 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1313 | 26% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1051.2 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).