BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1071 | 59% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 959 | 967 | 49% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 987 | 60% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1011 | 1106 | 37% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1066 | 56% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1143 | 986 | 71% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1020 | 51% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 872 | 69% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1009.4 has a 56.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).