BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1074 | 63% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 978 | 964 | 52% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1012 | 986 | 54% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 1114 | 39% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1050 | 58% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1136 | 986 | 70% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1009 | 54% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 959 | 58% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1017.8 has a 56.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).