Knife in the Flank
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1260 | 32% | 2025-02-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 914 | 64% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2024-02-11 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1030 | 75% | 2021-04-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 991 | 62% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1202 | 53% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1164 | 58% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1009 | 63% | 2012-11-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 1015 | 62% | 2012-07-27 | Lost |
| 1057 | 960 | 64% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1106 | 36% | 2012-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2012-04-22 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1154 | 49% | 2012-04-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-11-13 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1093.6 has a 46.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).