Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1097 | 54% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 1007 | 43% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1047 | 1030 | 52% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1050 | 64% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1310 | 1014 | 85% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 923 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 908 | 919 | 48% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 954 | 871 | 62% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 979 | 66% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1001 | 62% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 954 | 54% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 998.8 has a 60.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).