Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 848 | 928 | 39% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 877 | 1099 | 22% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1085 | 43% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 949 | 1039 | 37% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 993 | 57% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 749 | 1264 | 5% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1202 | 31% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 914 | 64% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1312 | 1248 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1119 | 1226 | 35% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1150 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1093 | 1102 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1059 | 1080 | 47% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1150 | 970 | 74% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1170 | 65% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1075 | 890 | 74% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1313 | 11% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1154 | 65% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1148 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 942 | 890 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1113 | 1153 | 44% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1080 | 53% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1059 | 44% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1106 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 1137 | 1100 | 55% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 848 | 998 | 30% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1075 | 910 | 72% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1132 | 63% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1110 | 76% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1030 | 61% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1089 | 50% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1077.9 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).