Obian Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 943 | 47% | 2024-07-09 | Lost |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 968 | 1023 | 42% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1098 | 38% | 2022-11-16 | Lost |
| 929 | 1045 | 34% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2022-05-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1043 | 50% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1126 | 41% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
| 769 | 1259 | 6% | 2022-03-19 | Lost |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1298 | 1238 | 59% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1116 | 1250 | 32% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 923 | 936 | 48% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1149 | 1032 | 66% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1094 | 1101 | 49% | 2020-01-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
| 1069 | 1084 | 48% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1031 | 56% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1151 | 40% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1010 | 994 | 52% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 919 | 72% | 2016-12-03 | Lost |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 1191 | 1098 | 63% | 2016-08-05 | Won |
| 954 | 1310 | 11% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1133 | 67% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1067 | 1023 | 56% | 2013-08-12 | Won |
| 939 | 889 | 57% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 1130 | 48% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 999 | 52% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1084 | 41% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1069 | 42% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1114 | 58% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
| 849 | 954 | 35% | 2012-04-20 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1098 | 53% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
| 1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2012-02-25 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1014 | 64% | 2012-02-22 | Lost |
| 1150 | 978 | 73% | 2011-11-13 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1094 | 42% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1064.6 has a 49.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).