The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2025-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2021-12-10 | | Won |
| 1099 | 954 | 70% | 2021-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 966 | 62% | 2017-11-30 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-06-28 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1226 | 27% | 2016-11-09 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2016-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2016-02-27 | | Tied |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2013-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2012-03-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1083.1 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).