The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1139 | 52% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1096 | 63% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 927 | 67% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1028 | 951 | 61% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1176 | 1142 | 55% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1018 | 55% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1117.6 vs 1082.8 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).