The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1198 | 51% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1186 | 1107 | 61% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 878 | 74% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1026 | 47% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 1174 | 33% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1018 | 57% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1111.3 vs 1091.8 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).