A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 1048 | 48% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 941 | 812 | 68% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1044 | 63% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1037 | 955 | 62% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1084 | 68% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 963 | 1037 | 40% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1130 | 30% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1018 | 62% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 983 | 68% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1310 | 32% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1077 vs 1057.3 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).