A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1056 | 1139 | 38% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1017 | 755 | 82% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1151 | 1039 | 66% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1050 | 927 | 67% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1333 | 14% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1051 | 72% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1029 | 71% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 960 | 1050 | 37% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 978 | 1151 | 27% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1020 | 63% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1106 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1178 | 1333 | 29% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1086.7 vs 1059.9 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).