Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (16 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1084 | 55% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 983 | 1011 | 46% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 861 | 74% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 995 | 52% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1091 | 1309 | 22% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1309 | 22% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1040 | 58% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1040 | 50% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1018 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 978 | 60% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 958 | 1195 | 20% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1018 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1039 | 932 | 65% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1068.4 has a 47.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).