Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (17 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 1011 | 47% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1060 | 862 | 76% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1100 | 38% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1020 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 927 | 67% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1020 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1148 | 32% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1077.7 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).