Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (16 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 22
Defender wins (Canadian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2024-09-15 | Won |
| 1089 | 1293 | 24% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1048 | 938 | 65% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
| 1142 | 945 | 76% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 975 | 53% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 981 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1003 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1069 | 986 | 62% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1111 | 1310 | 24% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1046.2 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).