The Battle in the Tunnel and Organ Gully
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (4 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1028 | 35% | 2018-12-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2018-01-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2017-03-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1184 | 34% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1109.3 has a 41.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).