From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1191 | 49% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1144 | 30% | 2023-05-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 919 | 63% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 886 | 1010 | 33% | 2020-05-30 | Lost |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 972 | 37% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2016-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.1 vs 1048.3 has a 46.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).