From Matilda with Love
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1128 | 44% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1091 | 39% | 2023-05-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 993 | 55% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1072 | 42% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 930 | 1009 | 39% | 2020-05-30 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
| 881 | 1016 | 31% | 2017-02-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2016-09-29 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.2 vs 1048.7 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).