Across the Border
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (16 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2024-05-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-01-22 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 929 | 949 | 47% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1004 | 989 | 52% | 2018-05-28 | Lost |
| 1025 | 984 | 56% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 984 | 1025 | 44% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1009 | 68% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2016-02-22 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1018 | 983 | 55% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1014 | 63% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1046.5 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).