Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 993 | 58% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1099 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1051 | 71% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 919 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1152 | 30% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 973 | 61% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1333 | 1168 | 72% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1065 | 64% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1026 | 54% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1093.8 vs 1044.4 has a 57.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).