Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1056 | 48% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1005 | 993 | 52% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1100 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1051 | 75% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1122 | 1163 | 44% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 920 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1052 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1152 | 30% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1005 | 974 | 54% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 985 | 74% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1329 | 1169 | 72% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1027 | 47% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1086.7 vs 1044 has a 56.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).