Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 973 | 993 | 47% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 977 | 1098 | 33% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1050 | 72% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1110 | 52% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1067 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 919 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1007 | 1151 | 30% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 973 | 974 | 50% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1038 | 73% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1340 | 1168 | 73% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1078 | 62% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 973 | 1026 | 42% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1042.8 has a 56.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).