Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (American): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2021-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-08-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2019-03-15 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1150 | 28% | 2016-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-07 | | Won |
| 1242 | 980 | 82% | 2015-01-18 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1195 | 57% | 2014-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2014-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2013-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1101 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1101 | 43% | 2012-10-05 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1141 | 32% | 2012-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2012-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2012-07-15 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 1147 | 48% | 2011-07-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2011-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2011-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1089.5 vs 1054.9 has a 54.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).