Uncommon Misery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (13 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1190 | 38% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-12-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 897 | 1135 | 20% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 919 | 78% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 1081 | 1256 | 27% | 2014-01-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2012-07-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1065 | 46% | 2012-05-27 | Won |
| 693 | 1050 | 11% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1028 | 50% | 2011-04-21 | Won |
| 947 | 963 | 48% | 2011-03-19 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1007 | 63% | 2011-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1013.8 vs 1062.5 has a 43.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).