Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1020 | 70% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 982 | 42% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 955 | 32% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 930 | 64% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1188 | 54% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 1124 | 63% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1130 | 1155 | 46% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1091 | 1055 | 55% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 1002 | 1133 | 32% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1068.5 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).