Riding with the King
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (18 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-10-27 | Tied |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1130 | 1005 | 67% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1015 | 50% | 2013-01-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1016 | 51% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 972 | 1023 | 43% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2011-10-17 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2011-09-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 895 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1034 | 1106 | 40% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-05-01 | Won |
| 990 | 1019 | 46% | 2010-11-28 | Won |
| 969 | 1177 | 23% | 1988-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1014.4 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).