Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1205 | 946 | 82% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1111 | 893 | 78% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 898 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 976 | 69% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1043 | 53% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 927 | 43% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 893 | 57% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1073 | 957 | 66% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1012 | 1131 | 34% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 1102 | 23% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1026.6 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).