Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1201 | 946 | 81% | 2023-09-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2020-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 940 | 71% | 2018-07-21 | | Won |
| 898 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-03-19 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1057 | 61% | 2015-05-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2014-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2014-02-01 | | Lost |
| 876 | 907 | 46% | 2013-04-01 | | Won |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2012-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 957 | 79% | 2012-03-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2012-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2012-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2012-03-07 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2011-08-12 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2011-08-06 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-06-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1031.5 vs 1026.2 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).