One Last Mighty Hew
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-08-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1094 | 67% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1132 | 1092 | 56% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1039 | 57% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1078 | 1057 | 53% | 2017-08-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1081 | 1117 | 45% | 2013-02-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1075 | 47% | 2012-03-25 | Won |
| 1112 | 1057 | 58% | 2012-02-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1313 | 33% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1114 | 48% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1093 | 45% | 2011-10-02 | Lost |
| 1148 | 974 | 73% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1077 | 52% | 2011-01-16 | Lost |
| 940 | 1039 | 36% | 2011-01-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1089 | 39% | 2010-11-23 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2010-05-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1084.2 has a 48.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).