Totensonntag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (58 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 98
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2024-10-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1023 | 53% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 995 | 55% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 1109 | 42% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 896 | 1102 | 23% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 965 | 951 | 52% | 2022-02-17 | Lost |
| 1076 | 940 | 69% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
| 963 | 1110 | 30% | 2020-12-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 881 | 59% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1101 | 1154 | 42% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 988 | 51% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 997 | 1038 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 1191 | 21% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
| 1064 | 999 | 59% | 2020-01-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1052 | 40% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 982 | 63% | 2019-07-10 | Won |
| 988 | 1066 | 39% | 2018-01-20 | Won |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1110 | 997 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 939 | 1275 | 13% | 2016-11-14 | Lost |
| 1161 | 986 | 73% | 2016-11-04 | Won |
| 1008 | 909 | 64% | 2016-10-23 | Lost |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1152 | 29% | 2015-11-15 | Won |
| 949 | 1001 | 43% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 964 | 994 | 46% | 2015-07-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 1163 | 27% | 2015-07-09 | Won |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2015-07-05 | Won |
| 1028 | 979 | 57% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 1329 | 14% | 2014-03-21 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1002 | 57% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 1050 | 43% | 2014-01-14 | Won |
| 890 | 1028 | 31% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 956 | 63% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-04-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1144 | 42% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 1044 | 1144 | 36% | 2012-11-25 | Won |
| 882 | 1164 | 16% | 2012-04-30 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2012-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1064 | 44% | 2011-10-30 | Lost |
| 919 | 1018 | 36% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1182 | 1060 | 67% | 2011-10-07 | Won |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2011-09-08 | Won |
| 1242 | 1022 | 78% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1143 | 972 | 73% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1011 | 1176 | 28% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 972 | 62% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
| 957 | 1039 | 38% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1118 | 1206 | 38% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1152 | 53% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1177 | 985 | 75% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1058.7 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).