An Unfriendly Welcome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (11 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 998 | 63% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2017-01-17 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1013 | 59% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
| 1077 | 1013 | 59% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 973 | 961 | 52% | 2013-01-03 | Lost |
| 999 | 965 | 55% | 2011-12-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2011-09-06 | Won |
| 695 | 1070 | 10% | 2010-11-20 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1099 | 80% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1071.5 vs 1029.7 has a 55.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).