Cohort and the Phalanx
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 820 | 692 | 68% | 2024-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-03-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2022-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-09-16 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1103 | 28% | 2018-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2015-02-06 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2015-01-24 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-27 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-04-06 | | Won |
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2011-10-08 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 991.5 has a 58.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).