Cohort and the Phalanx
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (10 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 20
Defender wins (Greek): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 831 | 729 | 64% | 2024-04-10 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2024-03-30 | Won |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2022-09-06 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 1097 | 30% | 2018-08-29 | Lost |
| 896 | 982 | 38% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 1007 | 64% | 2015-01-24 | Won |
| 1329 | 1140 | 75% | 2014-12-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 931 | 68% | 2012-04-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 957 | 60% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1015.3 has a 55.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).