The Volga is Reached!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 923 | 70% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 994 | 996 | 50% | 2021-11-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 1034 | 45% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1009 | 48% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 1165 | 27% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 1250 | 19% | 2021-02-02 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
| 881 | 999 | 34% | 2020-06-27 | Tied |
| 999 | 881 | 66% | 2018-11-23 | Won |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-07-18 | Lost |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 1215 | 884 | 87% | 2011-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1008.2 vs 1009.3 has a 49.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).