The Riley Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 844 | 1028 | 26% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1007 | 64% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 991 | 1109 | 34% | 2013-08-05 | Lost |
| 1147 | 986 | 72% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 1333 | 12% | 2011-12-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1065 | 42% | 2011-02-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1056.4 has a 46.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).