Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (17 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 912 | 1080 | 28% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1216 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1070 | 59% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1216 | 20% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 1152 | 24% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1141 | 890 | 81% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1198 | 42% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1061 | 46% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1028 | 969 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1046.2 vs 1099.6 has a 42.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).