Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (17 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 912 | 1172 | 18% | 2020-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1071 | 64% | 2018-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2017-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2016-09-03 | | Lost |
| 898 | 959 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2016-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1157 | 29% | 2012-10-31 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-08-20 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2010-12-03 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2010-10-14 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2010-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2010-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1131 | 37% | 2010-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1081.3 has a 46.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).