Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (17 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 1204 | 16% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1217 | 29% | 2019-12-27 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1067 | 60% | 2018-12-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1216 | 23% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1340 | 17% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 897 | 958 | 41% | 2016-04-18 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2016-03-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Lost |
| 956 | 1098 | 31% | 2012-10-31 | Won |
| 1151 | 890 | 82% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1196 | 44% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1033 | 945 | 62% | 2010-12-03 | Won |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2010-10-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 970 | 58% | 2010-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1101.4 has a 43.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).