The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1003 | 54% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1047 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1186 | 1047 | 69% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1089 | 974 | 66% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2018-04-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1011 | 53% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 973 | 1072 | 36% | 2010-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1037.9 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).