Brigade Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (34 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 71
Defender wins (Japanese): 78
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2025-10-22 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1018 | 50% | 2025-07-28 | Lost |
| 959 | 1084 | 33% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1187 | 50% | 2023-04-15 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1227 | 26% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1167 | 45% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 955 | 1120 | 28% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2021-08-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2020-11-29 | Won |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2020-09-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2020-04-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1077 | 49% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-07-22 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1028 | 76% | 2018-06-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1070 | 54% | 2014-09-03 | Won |
| 973 | 999 | 46% | 2014-08-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2014-03-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1138 | 37% | 2013-05-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 971 | 66% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-08-25 | Lost |
| 1263 | 964 | 85% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
| 1176 | 1060 | 66% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1136 | 37% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
| 907 | 997 | 37% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1057.6 has a 48.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).