Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 22
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1208 | 33% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1031 | 48% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 928 | 901 | 54% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1225 | 1255 | 46% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1002 | 1053 | 43% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1068 | 42% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 929 | 1080 | 30% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 938 | 905 | 55% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1077 | 50% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1079 | 68% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1209 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1093 | 42% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1208 | 23% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1068 | 810 | 82% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1050 | 39% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1080 | 1093 | 48% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1202 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1038 | 51% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1113 | 984 | 68% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 815 | 938 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 987 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 978 | 61% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 958 | 1039 | 39% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1143 | 941 | 76% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1309 | 27% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1136 | 1095 | 56% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1049.7 vs 1052.8 has a 49.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).