Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1124 | 37% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1033 | 48% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1259 | 1256 | 50% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 990 | 1112 | 33% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 955 | 1016 | 41% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 937 | 1020 | 38% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 976 | 1048 | 40% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1075 | 58% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1210 | 1214 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 982 | 1094 | 34% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1124 | 33% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1020 | 812 | 77% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 974 | 1084 | 35% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1095 | 43% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1202 | 36% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1114 | 983 | 68% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 815 | 938 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 987 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 993 | 59% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 982 | 55% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1179 | 941 | 80% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1310 | 27% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1130 | 1097 | 55% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1055 | 55% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1054.1 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).