Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (38 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Polish): 84
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1186 | 36% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1043 | 46% | 2024-07-26 | Won |
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2023-09-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
| 1254 | 1254 | 50% | 2023-02-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1054 | 46% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 1042 | 37% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 939 | 1109 | 27% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 967 | 59% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 1016 | 51% | 2021-01-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2021-01-11 | Lost |
| 989 | 980 | 51% | 2020-05-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1113 | 58% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1212 | 1217 | 49% | 2017-02-13 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1109 | 46% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2015-08-08 | Lost |
| 988 | 1186 | 24% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 755 | 86% | 2014-06-14 | Lost |
| 972 | 1035 | 41% | 2012-10-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1202 | 39% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1038 | 56% | 2012-05-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 982 | 67% | 2012-02-23 | Won |
| 816 | 936 | 33% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 913 | 986 | 40% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1031 | 54% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1078 | 45% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1137 | 941 | 76% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1340 | 23% | 2010-09-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1020 | 59% | 2010-08-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 1101 | 51% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 998 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-03-29 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1065.1 has a 48.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).