The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1198 | 33% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1054 | 41% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 922 | 1256 | 13% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 1024 | 36% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 941 | 72% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 985 | 951 | 55% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1054.8 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).