The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1252 | 19% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 1075 | 35% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1086 | 877 | 77% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1004 | 58% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1058.8 has a 43.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).