The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1159 | 40% | 2023-06-05 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1093 | 30% | 2023-01-10 | | Won |
| 992 | 1143 | 30% | 2021-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1292 | 24% | 2021-07-24 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1033 | 35% | 2018-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 972 | 68% | 2016-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2013-06-06 | | Won |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2012-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2011-02-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1071.2 has a 44.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).