The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1177 | 37% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1102 | 32% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1207 | 31% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 1045 | 33% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 918 | 74% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1054.5 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).