Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1004 | 65% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1068 | 54% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1136 | 1173 | 45% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 844 | 1039 | 25% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
| 1110 | 981 | 68% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1081.7 has a 45.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).