Coke Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Australian): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1072 | 35% | 2025-08-20 | Tied |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2025-04-10 | Won |
| 995 | 1116 | 33% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1021 | 950 | 60% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 999 | 60% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 950 | 786 | 72% | 2025-03-06 | Won |
| 1192 | 1072 | 67% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1015 | 919 | 63% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
| 859 | 1013 | 29% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 978 | 1096 | 34% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 1024 | 49% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1072 | 46% | 2021-03-29 | Lost |
| 936 | 941 | 49% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1050 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2020-07-13 | Won |
| 1263 | 1110 | 71% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1263 | 61% | 2015-12-03 | Won |
| 694 | 1058 | 11% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1045.5 has a 50.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).