Coke Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (20 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1030 | 41% | 2025-08-20 | Tied |
| 1079 | 1055 | 53% | 2025-04-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 999 | 56% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 999 | 786 | 77% | 2025-03-06 | Won |
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1015 | 910 | 65% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2024-08-10 | Lost |
| 855 | 1000 | 30% | 2024-03-19 | Won |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
| 1015 | 1046 | 46% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1073 | 44% | 2021-03-29 | Lost |
| 936 | 940 | 49% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1052 | 62% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2020-07-13 | Won |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2015-12-03 | Won |
| 694 | 1073 | 10% | 2011-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1043.7 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).