Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1031 | 58% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1160 | 48% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1077 | 44% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 965 | 72% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1187 | 1262 | 39% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1219 | 29% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1182 | 36% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1337 | 40% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1153 | 1084 | 60% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1059 | 997 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1126 | 24% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1059 | 1070 | 48% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1344 | 1109 | 79% | 2010-02-06 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1101.9 vs 1075 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).