Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1133 | 41% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1193 | 870 | 87% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 998 | 68% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1059 | 47% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 984 | 996 | 48% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 914 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 914 | 64% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 1251 | 39% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1313 | 23% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1177 | 36% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1075 | 59% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1125 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 923 | 1153 | 21% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 1112 | 56% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1066 | 49% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1063.6 has a 52.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).