Kwajalein Crush
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1139 | 40% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1211 | 893 | 86% | 2024-03-06 | Won |
| 990 | 1153 | 28% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1127 | 927 | 76% | 2021-05-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1028 | 51% | 2021-05-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Won |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1251 | 35% | 2020-07-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1333 | 21% | 2018-12-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1177 | 33% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1051 | 62% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1126 | 48% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1057 | 996 | 59% | 2013-01-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1151 | 22% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2012-09-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2012-08-15 | Won |
| 1057 | 1067 | 49% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1063.8 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).