French Toast and Bacon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (46 on the archive and 113 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (American): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2026-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2026-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2025-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1042 | 46% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2024-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-18 | | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2023-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 1000 | 56% | 2022-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-05 | | Won |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-04-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-04-13 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-16 | | Won |
| 974 | 904 | 60% | 2011-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-04-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1238 | 20% | 2011-04-10 | | Won |
| 904 | 974 | 40% | 2011-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 927 | 60% | 2010-05-14 | | Lost |
| 943 | 880 | 59% | 2010-04-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2010-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 994.1 vs 993.5 has a 50.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).