Ride of the 200th
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 11
Defender wins (Japanese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 872 | 69% | 2021-07-25 | Won |
| 1227 | 1306 | 39% | 2021-05-14 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2018-06-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1080 | 32% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1337 | 1263 | 60% | 2017-05-31 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1083 | 69% | 2011-04-13 | Won |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1110 | 1021 | 63% | 2010-03-07 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1134.8 vs 1118.6 has a 52.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).